SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 42.43%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 32.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 1-2 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Willem II | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
42.43% ( -0.06) | 24.77% ( -0.02) | 32.8% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 57.76% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.69% ( 0.09) | 45.31% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.35% ( 0.08) | 67.65% ( -0.09) |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.61% ( 0.01) | 21.39% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.62% ( 0.02) | 54.38% ( -0.02) |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.48% ( 0.08) | 26.52% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.27% ( 0.11) | 61.72% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Willem II | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
| 2-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.75% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.6% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.47% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.78% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.34% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0)Other @ 2.57% Total : 42.43% | 1-1 @ 11.61% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.77% | 1-2 @ 7.71% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.53% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.41% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.19% Total : 32.8% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| P | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 88 | 37 | 51 | 76 |
| 2 | Heracles | 34 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 92 | 41 | 51 | 73 |
| 3 | Almere CityAlmere City | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 50 | 37 | 13 | 63 |
| 4 | Willem II | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 60 | 36 | 24 | 60 |
| 5 | MVV MaastrichtMVV | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 61 | 58 | 3 | 56 |
| 6 | VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 52 | 47 | 5 | 53 |
| 7 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 57 | 57 | 0 | 53 |
| 8 | FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 51 |
| 9 | De GraafschapDe Graafschap | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 56 | 48 | 8 | 46 |
| 10 | ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 43 | 49 | -6 | 46 |
| 11 | TelstarTelstar | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 46 |
| 12 | Jong AZJong AZ | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 54 | 53 | 1 | 44 |
| 13 | Roda JC | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 42 |
| 14 | Jong PSVJong PSV | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 55 | 57 | -2 | 41 |
| 15 | Jong AjaxJong Ajax | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 63 | 66 | -3 | 40 |
| 16 | Helmond SportHelmond | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 33 | 51 | -18 | 38 |
| 17 | Dordrecht | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 36 | 57 | -21 | 33 |
| 18 | Den BoschDen Bosch | 34 | 10 | 3 | 21 | 44 | 79 | -35 | 33 |
| 19 | TOP OssOss | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 41 | 68 | -27 | 32 |
| 20 | Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht | 34 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 32 | 59 | -27 | 26 |
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