SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 46.93%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 28.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 1-2 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for NAC Breda in this match.
| Result | ||
| NAC Breda | Draw | Jong AZ |
46.93% ( 0.15) | 24.15% ( 0.03) | 28.92% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 57.88% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.73% ( -0.25) | 44.26% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.36% ( -0.24) | 66.64% ( 0.24) |
| NAC Breda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81% ( -0.04) | 19% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.44% ( -0.07) | 50.55% ( 0.06) |
| Jong AZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.45% ( -0.25) | 28.54% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.67% ( -0.32) | 64.33% ( 0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| NAC Breda | Draw | Jong AZ |
| 2-1 @ 9.38% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.01% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 5.19% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.14% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.25% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.16% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.72% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.26% Total : 46.93% | 1-1 @ 11.29% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 5.42% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.14% | 1-2 @ 7.08% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.8% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.65% Total : 28.92% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Roda JC | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 4 | 15 | 18 |
| 2 | VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 14 |
| 3 | Groningen | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 13 |
| 4 | Cambuur | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 13 |
| 5 | De GraafschapDe Graafschap | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 13 |
| 6 | EmmenEmmen | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 12 |
| 7 | ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 12 |
| 8 | Jong AZJong AZ | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 11 |
| 9 | FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 10 |
| 10 | Dordrecht | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 10 |
| 11 | Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 | Jong PSVJong PSV | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 10 |
| 13 | Willem II | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 8 |
| 14 | MVV MaastrichtMVV | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 7 |
| 15 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 7 |
| 16 | Helmond SportHelmond | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 7 |
| 17 | Den BoschDen Bosch | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 6 |
| 18 | TOP OssOss | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 4 |
| 19 | Jong AjaxJong Ajax | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 2 |
| 20 | TelstarTelstar | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 1 |
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