SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 62.5%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 17.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.96%) and 1-0 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.91%), while for a MVV Maastricht win it was 1-2 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NAC Breda would win this match.
| Result | ||
| NAC Breda | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
62.5% ( -0.23) | 19.66% ( 0.1) | 17.84% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 59.21% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.04% ( -0.22) | 35.96% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.94% ( -0.25) | 58.06% ( 0.25) |
| NAC Breda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.96% ( -0.12) | 11.04% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 64.63% ( -0.28) | 35.37% ( 0.29) |
| MVV Maastricht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.56% ( 0.01) | 33.44% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.93% ( 0.01) | 70.07% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| NAC Breda | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
| 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 7.21% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 6.58% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 3.97% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 3.63% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.6% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.75% Total : 62.5% | 1-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.24% Total : 19.66% | 1-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 4.05% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.96% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.95% Total : 17.84% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 94 | 33 | 61 | 89 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 88 | 43 | 45 | 84 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 75 |
| 4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 68 | 33 | 35 | 71 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 75 | 47 | 28 | 67 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 62 |
| 7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 61 |
| 8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 60 |
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 59 |
| 10 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 52 |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 45 |
| 12 | Chelsea | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 44 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 58 | -27 | 41 |
| 14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 40 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 39 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 68 | -30 | 38 |
| 17 | Everton | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 36 |
| R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 34 |
| R | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 78 | -30 | 31 |
| R | Southampton | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 25 |
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