SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 34.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (6.45%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 1-0 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| NAC Breda | Draw | Groningen |
34.8% ( -0.2) | 25.23% ( -0.08) | 39.97% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 56.71% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.09% ( 0.35) | 46.91% ( -0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.84% ( 0.32) | 69.16% ( -0.32) |
| NAC Breda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.91% ( 0.05) | 26.09% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.86% ( 0.06) | 61.14% ( -0.06) |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.73% ( 0.3) | 23.28% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.8% ( 0.43) | 57.21% ( -0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| NAC Breda | Draw | Groningen |
| 1-0 @ 8.16% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 7.99% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 3.58% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0)Other @ 3.33% Total : 34.8% | 1-1 @ 11.89% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.07% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.22% | 0-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 8.67% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 6.45% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.21% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.54% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.11% Total : 39.97% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Roda JC | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 8 | 17 | 26 |
| 2 | Willem II | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 26 |
| 3 | ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 23 |
| 4 | EmmenEmmen | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 22 |
| 5 | Dordrecht | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 21 |
| 6 | FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 20 |
| 7 | De GraafschapDe Graafschap | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 20 |
| 8 | VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
| 9 | Helmond SportHelmond | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 18 |
| 10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 18 |
| 11 | Jong AZJong AZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 17 |
| 12 | Cambuur | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 17 |
| 13 | Groningen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 14 |
| 14 | Jong PSVJong PSV | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 13 |
| 15 | MVV MaastrichtMVV | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 11 |
| 16 | Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
| 17 | TelstarTelstar | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
| 18 | Den BoschDen Bosch | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 9 |
| 19 | TOP OssOss | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 7 |
| 20 | Jong AjaxJong Ajax | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 6 |
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