Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 42.14%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 1-0 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
