Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 51.05%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 25.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Almere City win was 1-2 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.
