Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 52.79%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 24.41% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
