SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 55.36%. A win for TOP Oss had a probability of 23.09% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.91%) and 1-0 (7.89%). The likeliest TOP Oss win was 1-2 (5.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jong Ajax | Draw | TOP Oss |
55.36% ( -0.09) | 21.54% ( 0.01) | 23.09% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 61.24% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.75% ( 0.04) | 37.25% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.54% ( 0.04) | 59.46% ( -0.05) |
| Jong Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.54% ( -0.02) | 13.45% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 59.56% ( -0.03) | 40.44% ( 0.02) |
| TOP Oss Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.76% ( 0.08) | 29.24% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.81% ( 0.1) | 65.19% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong Ajax | Draw | TOP Oss |
| 2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.91% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 7.89% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.51% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 4% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.26% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.65% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.01% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.31% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 3.73% Total : 55.36% | 1-1 @ 9.7% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.93% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.28% Total : 21.54% | 1-2 @ 5.97% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.84% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.2% Total : 23.09% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Willem II | 21 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 46 | 18 | 28 | 48 |
| 2 | ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 43 | 26 | 17 | 40 |
| 3 | Roda JC | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 39 |
| 4 | Dordrecht | 21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 43 | 29 | 14 | 36 |
| 5 | Cambuur | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 51 | 41 | 10 | 34 |
| 6 | De GraafschapDe Graafschap | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 33 |
| 7 | Groningen | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 32 |
| 8 | EmmenEmmen | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 32 |
| 9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 31 |
| 10 | FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 30 |
| 11 | VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 29 |
| 12 | Jong AZJong AZ | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 29 |
| 13 | MVV MaastrichtMVV | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 26 |
| 14 | Helmond SportHelmond | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 25 |
| 15 | Jong AjaxJong Ajax | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 22 |
| 16 | Jong PSVJong PSV | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 25 | 41 | -16 | 18 |
| 17 | Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 18 |
| 18 | Den BoschDen Bosch | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 15 |
| 19 | TelstarTelstar | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 20 | 38 | -18 | 15 |
| 20 | TOP OssOss | 21 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 38 | -26 | 11 |
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