SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 39.53%. A win for Cambuur had a probability of 37.45% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.18%) and 2-0 (5.17%). The likeliest Cambuur win was 1-2 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| De Graafschap | Draw | Cambuur |
39.53% ( 0.2) | 23.02% ( 0.01) | 37.45% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 65.27% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.06% ( -0.07) | 35.94% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.97% ( -0.07) | 58.03% ( 0.07) |
| De Graafschap Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.26% ( 0.06) | 18.73% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.89% ( 0.1) | 50.11% ( -0.1) |
| Cambuur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.31% ( -0.13) | 19.68% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.32% ( -0.2) | 51.68% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| De Graafschap | Draw | Cambuur |
| 2-1 @ 8.41% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 5.17% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.69% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.81% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.97% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.6% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.61% Total : 39.53% | 1-1 @ 10.03% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.83% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.39% Total : 23.01% | 1-2 @ 8.16% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.99% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.42% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.7% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.8% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.29% Total : 37.45% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Willem II | 21 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 46 | 18 | 28 | 48 |
| 2 | ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 43 | 26 | 17 | 40 |
| 3 | Roda JC | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 39 |
| 4 | Dordrecht | 21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 43 | 29 | 14 | 36 |
| 5 | Cambuur | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 51 | 41 | 10 | 34 |
| 6 | De GraafschapDe Graafschap | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 33 |
| 7 | Groningen | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 32 |
| 8 | EmmenEmmen | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 32 |
| 9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 31 |
| 10 | FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 30 |
| 11 | VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 29 |
| 12 | Jong AZJong AZ | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 29 |
| 13 | MVV MaastrichtMVV | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 26 |
| 14 | Helmond SportHelmond | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 25 |
| 15 | Jong AjaxJong Ajax | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 22 |
| 16 | Jong PSVJong PSV | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 25 | 41 | -16 | 18 |
| 17 | Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 18 |
| 18 | Den BoschDen Bosch | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 15 |
| 19 | TelstarTelstar | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 20 | 38 | -18 | 15 |
| 20 | TOP OssOss | 21 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 38 | -26 | 11 |
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