SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 53.1%. A win for Roda JC had a probability of 25.3% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.14%) and 1-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Roda JC win was 1-2 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cambuur | Draw | Roda JC |
53.1% ( -0.67) | 21.6% ( 0.36) | 25.3% ( 0.31) |
| Both teams to score 63.75% ( -0.99) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.88% ( -1.43) | 35.12% ( 1.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.87% ( -1.61) | 57.13% ( 1.61) |
| Cambuur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.57% ( -0.69) | 13.43% ( 0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 59.61% ( -1.4) | 40.39% ( 1.4) |
| Roda JC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.64% ( -0.55) | 26.36% ( 0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.49% ( -0.74) | 61.51% ( 0.73) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cambuur | Draw | Roda JC |
| 2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.15)1-0 @ 7.11% ( 0.33)3-1 @ 6.37% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 4.78% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.15)4-1 @ 3.2% ( -0.15)4-0 @ 2.4% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.13)5-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.09)5-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.06)4-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.04% Total : 53.1% | 1-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 3.54% ( 0.25)3-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.35% Total : 21.6% | 1-2 @ 6.32% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.27)0-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 2.81% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.22% Total : 25.3% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Willem II | 21 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 46 | 18 | 28 | 48 |
| 2 | ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 43 | 26 | 17 | 40 |
| 3 | Roda JC | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 39 |
| 4 | Dordrecht | 21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 43 | 29 | 14 | 36 |
| 5 | Cambuur | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 51 | 41 | 10 | 34 |
| 6 | De GraafschapDe Graafschap | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 33 |
| 7 | Groningen | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 32 |
| 8 | EmmenEmmen | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 32 |
| 9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 31 |
| 10 | FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 30 |
| 11 | VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 29 |
| 12 | Jong AZJong AZ | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 29 |
| 13 | MVV MaastrichtMVV | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 26 |
| 14 | Helmond SportHelmond | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 25 |
| 15 | Jong AjaxJong Ajax | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 22 |
| 16 | Jong PSVJong PSV | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 25 | 41 | -16 | 18 |
| 17 | Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 18 |
| 18 | Den BoschDen Bosch | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 15 |
| 19 | TelstarTelstar | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 20 | 38 | -18 | 15 |
| 20 | TOP OssOss | 21 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 38 | -26 | 11 |
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