SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 42.93%. A win for FC Eindhoven had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest FC Eindhoven win was 0-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.
| Result | ||
| De Graafschap | Draw | FC Eindhoven |
42.93% ( -0.34) | 25.02% ( 0.08) | 32.05% ( 0.26) |
| Both teams to score 56.59% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.29% ( -0.27) | 46.71% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.03% ( -0.25) | 68.97% ( 0.25) |
| De Graafschap Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.25% ( -0.27) | 21.75% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.06% ( -0.41) | 54.94% ( 0.41) |
| FC Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.33% ( 0.03) | 27.67% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.78% ( 0.05) | 63.22% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| De Graafschap | Draw | FC Eindhoven |
| 1-0 @ 9.18% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 7% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.58% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 3.56% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.44% Total : 42.93% | 1-1 @ 11.79% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.02% | 0-1 @ 7.73% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 7.58% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 4.97% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 3.25% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.88% Total : 32.05% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Roda JC | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 8 | 17 | 26 |
| 2 | Willem II | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 26 |
| 3 | ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 23 |
| 4 | EmmenEmmen | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 22 |
| 5 | Dordrecht | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 21 |
| 6 | FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 20 |
| 7 | De GraafschapDe Graafschap | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 20 |
| 8 | VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
| 9 | Helmond SportHelmond | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 18 |
| 10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 18 |
| 11 | Jong AZJong AZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 17 |
| 12 | Groningen | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 14 |
| 13 | Cambuur | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 14 |
| 14 | Jong PSVJong PSV | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 13 |
| 15 | MVV MaastrichtMVV | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 11 |
| 16 | Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
| 17 | TelstarTelstar | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
| 18 | Den BoschDen Bosch | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 9 |
| 19 | TOP OssOss | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 7 |
| 20 | Jong AjaxJong Ajax | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 6 |
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