SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Eindhoven win with a probability of 43.34%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 31.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Eindhoven win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 1-0 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jong PSV | Draw | FC Eindhoven |
31.3% ( -0.6) | 25.35% ( -0.16) | 43.34% ( 0.76) |
| Both teams to score 55.15% ( 0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.56% ( 0.5) | 48.44% ( -0.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.43% ( 0.46) | 70.57% ( -0.45) |
| Jong PSV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.98% ( -0.14) | 29.02% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.07% ( -0.18) | 64.92% ( 0.18) |
| FC Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.7% ( 0.58) | 22.3% ( -0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.24% ( 0.86) | 55.76% ( -0.86) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong PSV | Draw | FC Eindhoven |
| 1-0 @ 8.01% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 7.43% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 4.95% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 3.07% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.3% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.56% Total : 31.3% | 1-1 @ 12.01% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.47% ( -0.13)2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.35% | 0-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.02% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 7.29% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 4.51% ( 0.12)0-3 @ 3.65% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 1.69% ( 0.07)0-4 @ 1.37% ( 0.07)2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.28% Total : 43.34% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Roda JC | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 7 | 16 | 23 |
| 2 | Willem II | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 23 |
| 3 | ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 22 |
| 4 | FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 20 |
| 5 | EmmenEmmen | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 19 |
| 6 | Dordrecht | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 18 |
| 7 | VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 18 |
| 8 | Helmond SportHelmond | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 17 |
| 9 | Jong AZJong AZ | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 17 |
| 10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 17 |
| 11 | De GraafschapDe Graafschap | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 17 |
| 12 | Groningen | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 14 |
| 13 | Cambuur | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 14 |
| 14 | Jong PSVJong PSV | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 13 |
| 15 | MVV MaastrichtMVV | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 11 |
| 16 | Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
| 17 | Den BoschDen Bosch | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 9 |
| 18 | TOP OssOss | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
| 19 | TelstarTelstar | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 7 |
| 20 | Jong AjaxJong Ajax | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 6 |
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