SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 61.15%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Den Bosch had a probability of 16.86%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for a Den Bosch win it was 0-1 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that ADO Den Haag would win this match.
| Result | ||
| ADO Den Haag | Draw | Den Bosch |
61.15% ( -0.29) | 21.99% ( 0.26) | 16.86% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 49.24% ( -0.73) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.85% ( -1.02) | 48.15% ( 1.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.69% ( -0.94) | 70.31% ( 0.94) |
| ADO Den Haag Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.74% ( -0.43) | 15.26% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.05% ( -0.82) | 43.95% ( 0.82) |
| Den Bosch Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.1% ( -0.56) | 41.9% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.65% ( -0.49) | 78.35% ( 0.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| ADO Den Haag | Draw | Den Bosch |
| 1-0 @ 12.01% ( 0.32) 2-0 @ 11.29% ( 0.13)2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 7.08% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.16% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 3.33% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 2.9% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.27% Total : 61.13% | 1-1 @ 10.45% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.26)2-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.86% Total : 21.98% | 0-1 @ 5.56% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.78% Total : 16.86% |
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