SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Den Bosch win with a probability of 46.47%. A win for FC Volendam had a probability of 29.74% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Den Bosch win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest FC Volendam win was 1-2 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Den Bosch would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Den Bosch | Draw | FC Volendam |
46.47% ( 4.06) | 23.79% ( -0.5) | 29.74% ( -3.56) |
| Both teams to score 59.66% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.84% ( 0.81) | 42.15% ( -0.81) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.44% ( 0.81) | 64.55% ( -0.81) |
| Den Bosch Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.64% ( 2.06) | 18.36% ( -2.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.52% ( 3.38) | 49.47% ( -3.38) |
| FC Volendam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.07% ( -1.82) | 26.92% ( 1.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.75% ( -2.45) | 62.25% ( 2.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Den Bosch | Draw | FC Volendam |
| 2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.38) 1-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.23)2-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.63)3-1 @ 5.27% ( 0.53)3-0 @ 4.01% ( 0.59)3-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.18)4-1 @ 2.23% ( 0.35)4-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.34)4-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.16)Other @ 3.54% Total : 46.47% | 1-1 @ 10.99% ( -0.26) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 4.94% ( -0.18)3-3 @ 1.51% ( 0)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.79% | 1-2 @ 7.21% ( -0.57) 0-1 @ 6.48% ( -0.6)0-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.64)1-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.43)2-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.17)0-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.39)1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.2)Other @ 3.06% Total : 29.74% |
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