Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Volendam win with a probability of 50.66%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 28.94% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Volendam win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.25%) and 2-0 (5.17%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Volendam would win this match.

Result
FC Volendam	Draw	Vitesse
50.66% ( 4.04)	20.41% ( -0.85)	28.94% ( -3.2)

Both teams to score 71.83% (

1.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

73.94% (

2.34)

26.06% (

-2.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

53.7% (

2.95)

46.3% (

-2.95)

FC Volendam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.98% (

2.03)

11.02% (

-2.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.67% (

4.31)

35.32% (

-4.31)

Vitesse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.72% (

-0.49)

19.28% (

0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.99% (

-0.81)

51.01% (

0.81)

Score Analysis

FC Volendam 50.66%

Vitesse 28.94%

Draw 20.41%

FC Volendam	Draw	Vitesse
2-1 @ 8.51% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.25% ( 0.48) 2-0 @ 5.17% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.32) 1-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.31) 3-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.35) 4-1 @ 3.45% ( 0.51) 4-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.38) 4-0 @ 2.09% ( 0.34) 4-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.19) 5-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.33) 5-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.25) 5-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.21) Other @ 3.47% Total : 50.66%	1-1 @ 7.71% ( -0.64) 2-2 @ 7% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.33) Other @ 0.74% Total : 20.41%	1-2 @ 6.35% ( -0.63) 2-3 @ 3.84% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 3.5% ( -0.6) 1-3 @ 3.48% ( -0.41) 0-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.55) 2-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.33) 1-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.19) 3-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.13% Total : 28.94%