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DFB-Pokal | First Round
Aug 17, 2024 at 12pm UK
Sparkassen-Erzgebirgsstadion
BM

Erzgebirge Aue
1 - 3
Borussia M'bach

Clausen (8')
Hoffmann (45+4'), Jakob (51'), Mannel (53')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Honorat (35'), Netz (52'), Plea (70')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Erzgebirge Aue 1-3 Carl Zeiss
Saturday, July 20 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 1-0 Strasbourg
Saturday, August 10 at 2.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Erzgebirge Aue 1-4 Borussia Monchengladbach

Although Borussia Monchengladbach were eliminated from the DFB-Pokal last term by a 3. Liga side, it is difficult to see it happening for a second consecutive season. Given the gap in quality between the teams, it would not be surprising if the visitors comfortably won on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 58.51%. A win for Erzgebirge Aue has a probability of 22.47% and a draw has a probability of 19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-3 (7.1%) and 0-2 (6%). The likeliest Erzgebirge Aue win is 2-1 (5.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (7.29%).

Result
Erzgebirge AueDrawBorussia Monchengladbach
22.47% (-0.735 -0.73) 19.02% (-0.306 -0.31) 58.51% (1.042 1.04)
Both teams to score 70.09% (0.164 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.45% (0.60299999999999 0.6)25.55% (-0.601 -0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
54.37% (0.776 0.78)45.63% (-0.773 -0.77)
Erzgebirge Aue Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.95% (-0.176 -0.18)23.05% (0.178 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.13% (-0.255 -0.26)56.87% (0.259 0.26)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.08% (0.422 0.42)8.92% (-0.4189 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.52% (1.008 1.01)30.48% (-1.005 -1.01)
Score Analysis
    Erzgebirge Aue 22.47%
    Borussia Monchengladbach 58.51%
    Draw 19.02%
Erzgebirge AueDrawBorussia Monchengladbach
2-1 @ 5.35% (-0.161 -0.16)
3-2 @ 3.16% (-0.049 -0.05)
1-0 @ 3.02% (-0.134 -0.13)
3-1 @ 2.62% (-0.092 -0.09)
2-0 @ 2.21% (-0.111 -0.11)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.08% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-1 @ 0.96% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-3 @ 0.94% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 22.47%
1-1 @ 7.29% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-2 @ 6.47% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-3 @ 2.55% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.06% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 19.02%
1-2 @ 8.81% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-3 @ 7.1% (0.099 0.1)
0-2 @ 6% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-3 @ 5.21% (0.047 0.05)
0-1 @ 4.97% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-3 @ 4.84% (0.093 0.09)
1-4 @ 4.29% (0.14 0.14)
2-4 @ 3.15% (0.088 0.09)
0-4 @ 2.92% (0.111 0.11)
1-5 @ 2.07% (0.106 0.11)
3-4 @ 1.54% (0.035 0.04)
2-5 @ 1.52% (0.071 0.07)
0-5 @ 1.41% (0.08 0.08)
Other @ 4.67%
Total : 58.51%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Erzgebirge Aue 1-3 Carl Zeiss
Saturday, July 20 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Erzgebirge Aue 1-1 Dortmund
Wednesday, July 17 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Erzgebirge Aue 0-3 Mainz
Sunday, July 31 at 5.01pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Dynamo Dresden 0-1 Erzgebirge Aue
Sunday, May 15 at 2.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Erzgebirge Aue 0-3 Werder Bremen
Sunday, May 8 at 12.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Darmstadt 6-0 Erzgebirge Aue
Saturday, April 30 at 7.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 1-0 Strasbourg
Saturday, August 10 at 2.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 2-0 Strasbourg
Saturday, August 10 at 10am in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 3-1 Ipswich
Friday, August 2 at 1.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 1-0 Holstein Kiel
Monday, July 29 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Sittard 1-3 Borussia M'bach
Thursday, July 25 at 12pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Wegberg-Beeck 0-2 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, July 20 at 2.30pm in Club Friendlies 3


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