Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nimes win with a probability of 45.26%. A win for Orleans had a probability of 30.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nimes win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Orleans win was 1-0 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
0.03) 
-0.01) 
