SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dijon win with a probability of 37.82%. A win for Nimes had a probability of 34.52% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dijon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.05%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Nimes win was 1-0 (10.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dijon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nimes | Draw | Dijon |
34.52% ( 0.36) | 27.66% ( -0.05) | 37.82% ( -0.31) |
| Both teams to score 48.73% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.95% ( 0.22) | 57.06% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.06% ( 0.17) | 77.94% ( -0.17) |
| Nimes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.79% ( 0.34) | 31.21% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.44% ( 0.4) | 67.56% ( -0.39) |
| Dijon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.84% ( -0.08) | 29.16% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.91% ( -0.1) | 65.09% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nimes | Draw | Dijon |
| 1-0 @ 10.59% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.6% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 2.95% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.98% Total : 34.51% | 1-1 @ 13.06% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.1% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.66% | 0-1 @ 11.21% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 8.05% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 6.91% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 3.31% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.56% Total : 37.82% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Le HavreLe Havre | 37 | 19 | 15 | 3 | 45 | 19 | 26 | 72 |
| 2 | Metz | 37 | 19 | 12 | 6 | 58 | 31 | 27 | 69 |
| 3 | Bordeaux | 37 | 20 | 9 | 8 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 69 |
| 4 | Bastia | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 60 |
| 5 | Caen | 37 | 16 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 42 | 10 | 59 |
| 6 | Sochaux | 37 | 15 | 7 | 15 | 53 | 38 | 15 | 52 |
| 7 | GuingampGuingamp | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 49 | 46 | 3 | 52 |
| 8 | Paris FCParis FC | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 44 | 43 | 1 | 52 |
| 9 | Grenoble | 37 | 14 | 9 | 14 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 51 |
| 10 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 61 | 57 | 4 | 50 |
| 11 | Quevilly | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 44 | 46 | -2 | 49 |
| 12 | AmiensAmiens | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 47 |
| 13 | Valenciennes | 37 | 10 | 15 | 12 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 45 |
| 14 | Annecy | 37 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 45 |
| 15 | PauPau | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 39 | 52 | -13 | 44 |
| 16 | Rodez AFRodez AF | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 43 |
| 17 | Laval | 37 | 13 | 4 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 43 |
| 18 | Dijon | 37 | 10 | 12 | 15 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 42 |
| 19 | Nimes | 37 | 9 | 6 | 22 | 41 | 61 | -20 | 33 |
| 20 | NiortNiort | 37 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 32 | 64 | -32 | 28 |
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