SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Laval win with a probability of 48.91%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Nimes had a probability of 25.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Laval win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Nimes win it was 0-1 (8.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Laval would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Laval | Draw | Nimes |
48.91% ( 2.45) | 25.76% ( -0.36) | 25.33% ( -2.08) |
| Both teams to score 49.85% ( -0.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.54% ( 0.03) | 53.46% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.02% ( 0.03) | 74.98% ( -0.02) |
| Laval Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.13% ( 1.12) | 21.87% ( -1.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.88% ( 1.67) | 55.12% ( -1.66) |
| Nimes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.81% ( -1.72) | 36.19% ( 1.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.03% ( -1.79) | 72.98% ( 1.79) |
| Score Analysis |
| Laval | Draw | Nimes |
| 1-0 @ 12.03% ( 0.38) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.17)2-0 @ 9.14% ( 0.58)3-1 @ 4.71% ( 0.24)3-0 @ 4.63% ( 0.44)3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.79% ( 0.15)4-0 @ 1.76% ( 0.22)4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.25% Total : 48.91% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 7.92% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.89% Total : 25.75% | 0-1 @ 8.05% ( -0.39) 1-2 @ 6.22% ( -0.39)0-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.4)1-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.24)2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.21)Other @ 1.89% Total : 25.33% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Le HavreLe Havre | 37 | 19 | 15 | 3 | 45 | 19 | 26 | 72 |
| 2 | Metz | 37 | 19 | 12 | 6 | 58 | 31 | 27 | 69 |
| 3 | Bordeaux | 37 | 20 | 9 | 8 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 69 |
| 4 | Bastia | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 60 |
| 5 | Caen | 37 | 16 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 42 | 10 | 59 |
| 6 | Sochaux | 37 | 15 | 7 | 15 | 53 | 38 | 15 | 52 |
| 7 | GuingampGuingamp | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 49 | 46 | 3 | 52 |
| 8 | Paris FCParis FC | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 44 | 43 | 1 | 52 |
| 9 | Grenoble | 37 | 14 | 9 | 14 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 51 |
| 10 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 61 | 57 | 4 | 50 |
| 11 | Quevilly | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 44 | 46 | -2 | 49 |
| 12 | AmiensAmiens | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 47 |
| 13 | Valenciennes | 37 | 10 | 15 | 12 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 45 |
| 14 | Annecy | 37 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 45 |
| 15 | PauPau | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 39 | 52 | -13 | 44 |
| 16 | Rodez AFRodez AF | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 43 |
| 17 | Laval | 37 | 13 | 4 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 43 |
| 18 | Dijon | 37 | 10 | 12 | 15 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 42 |
| 19 | Nimes | 37 | 9 | 6 | 22 | 41 | 61 | -20 | 33 |
| 20 | NiortNiort | 37 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 32 | 64 | -32 | 28 |
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