SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 40.44%. A win for America Mineiro had a probability of 33.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest America Mineiro win was 0-1 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that America Mineiro would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Penarol | Draw | America Mineiro |
40.44% ( 2.98) | 26.5% ( 0.72) | 33.06% ( -3.7) |
| Both teams to score 52.05% ( -2.95) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.27% ( -3.54) | 52.73% ( 3.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.64% ( -3.11) | 74.36% ( 3.11) |
| Penarol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.35% ( -0.01) | 25.65% ( 0.01) |
