Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 15
May 13, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Estadio Campeón del Siglo
Penarol
1 - 1
Wanderers
FT(HT: 1-0)
Fonseca (68')
Fonseca (36'), Cerro (57'), Fonseca (71')
Cerro (90+6')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Montevideo Wanderers.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 48.42%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 23.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Montevideo Wanderers win it was 0-1 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
Result |
Penarol | Draw | Montevideo Wanderers |
48.42% ( 0.28) | 27.73% ( -0.1) | 23.84% ( -0.18) |
Both teams to score 43.15% ( 0.08) |
38.55% ( 0.19) | 61.45% ( -0.2) |
18.67% ( 0.14) | 81.33% ( -0.14) |
74.43% ( 0.22) | 25.57% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.56% ( 0.3) | 60.44% ( -0.31) |
Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
57.97% ( -0.06) | 42.02% ( 0.06) |