SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 38.42%. A win for Bragantino had a probability of 36.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an America Mineiro win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.15%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest Bragantino win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| America Mineiro | Draw | Bragantino |
38.42% ( -0.02) | 24.83% ( -0.02) | 36.75% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 58.35% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.1% ( 0.09) | 44.89% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.75% ( 0.09) | 67.25% ( -0.09) |
| America Mineiro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.83% ( 0.03) | 23.17% ( -0.03) |
