SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 51.11%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for America Mineiro had a probability of 23.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.86%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for an America Mineiro win it was 0-1 (7.89%).
| Result | ||
| Corinthians | Draw | America Mineiro |
51.11% ( 1.86) | 25.67% ( 0.18) | 23.23% ( -2.04) |
| Both teams to score 48.04% ( -2.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.23% ( -2.36) | 54.77% ( 2.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.92% ( -1.99) | 76.08% ( 1.99) |
| Corinthians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.53% ( -0.17) | 21.47% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.5% ( -0.26) | 54.5% ( 0.26) |
| America Mineiro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.18% ( -3.15) | 38.82% ( 3.15) |
