Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo-PB win with a probability of 65.91%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Concordia Atletico Clube had a probability of 11.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo-PB win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.03%) and 3-0 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.91%), while for a Concordia Atletico Clube win it was 0-1 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Botafogo-PB would win this match.
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