Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portuguesa win with a probability of 43.7%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Botafogo-PB had a probability of 27.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portuguesa win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.82%) and 2-1 (8.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.13%), while for a Botafogo-PB win it was 0-1 (10.46%).
-0.34) 
0.02) 
