SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 68.96%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Shenzhen had a probability of 12.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.17%) and 1-2 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.88%), while for a Shenzhen win it was 1-0 (4.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wuhan Three Towns would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shenzhen | Draw | Wuhan Three Towns |
12.36% ( -0.1) | 18.67% ( -0.08) | 68.96% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 48.56% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.93% ( 0.13) | 43.06% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.53% ( 0.13) | 65.46% ( -0.13) |
| Shenzhen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.8% ( -0.08) | 45.19% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 18.91% ( -0.06) | 81.08% ( 0.06) |
| Wuhan Three Towns Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.61% ( 0.08) | 11.39% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 63.87% ( 0.18) | 36.12% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shenzhen | Draw | Wuhan Three Towns |
| 1-0 @ 4.09% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 3.53% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.17% Total : 12.36% | 1-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.82% Total : 18.67% | 0-2 @ 12.14% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 11.17% ( -0.03)1-2 @ 9.65% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 8.8% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 6.99% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 4.78% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 3.8% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.78% ( 0)0-5 @ 2.08% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 1.65% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.51% ( 0)Other @ 3.62% Total : 68.95% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shanghai PortShanghai Port | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 58 | 28 | 30 | 60 |
| 2 | Shandong TaishanShandong | 29 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 54 | 24 | 30 | 55 |
| 3 | Zhejiang ProfessionalZhejiang | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 52 |
| 4 | Shanghai ShenhuaSh. Shenhua | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 33 | 29 | 4 | 52 |
| 5 | Chengdu Qianbao | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 48 | 32 | 16 | 50 |
| 6 | Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 48 |
| 7 | Wuhan Three TownsWuhan TT | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 47 | 32 | 15 | 48 |
| 8 | Tianjin Jinmen TigerTianjin Jinmen | 29 | 10 | 15 | 4 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 45 |
| 9 | Changchun YataiChangchun | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 39 |
| 10 | Henan Songshan LongmenHenan | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 37 | 35 | 2 | 36 |
| 11 | Meizhou Hakka | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 34 |
| 12 | Cangzhou Mighty LionsCangzhou | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 29 | 60 | -31 | 30 |
| 13 | Qingdao Jonoon | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 27 |
| 14 | Nantong Zhiyun | 29 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 25 | 40 | -15 | 22 |
| 15 | Dalian ProDalian Pro | 29 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 23 | 44 | -21 | 20 |
| 16 | Shenzhen | 29 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 22 | 76 | -54 | 12 |
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