SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for Henan Songshan Longmen had a probability of 33.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Henan Songshan Longmen win was 0-1 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shanghai Shenhua | Draw | Henan Songshan Longmen |
39.05% ( -0.06) | 27.6% ( -0.01) | 33.36% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 48.75% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.06% ( 0.06) | 56.94% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.15% ( 0.05) | 77.85% ( -0.05) |
| Shanghai Shenhua Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.61% ( -0.01) | 28.39% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.87% ( -0.01) | 64.13% ( 0.01) |
| Henan Songshan Longmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.08% ( 0.08) | 31.92% ( -0.08) |
