SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Qianbao win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Shanghai Shenhua had a probability of 32.62% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Qianbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Shanghai Shenhua win was 0-1 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chengdu Qianbao would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chengdu Qianbao | Draw | Shanghai Shenhua |
40.25% ( 0.01) | 27.13% ( -0) | 32.62% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 49.99% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.7% ( 0.01) | 55.3% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.48% ( 0.01) | 76.52% ( -0.01) |
| Chengdu Qianbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.06% ( 0.01) | 26.93% ( -0.02) |
