SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Meizhou Hakka win with a probability of 43.83%. A win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 30.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Meizhou Hakka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Cangzhou Mighty Lions win was 0-1 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Meizhou Hakka | Draw | Cangzhou Mighty Lions |
43.83% ( 0.14) | 25.93% ( 0.29) | 30.23% ( -0.42) |
| Both teams to score 52.77% ( -1.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.69% ( -1.36) | 51.31% ( 1.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.87% ( -1.2) | 73.13% ( 1.2) |
| Meizhou Hakka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.7% ( -0.52) | 23.3% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.76% ( -0.76) | 57.24% ( 0.76) |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.79% ( -0.99) | 31.21% ( 0.99) |
