SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Meizhou Hakka win with a probability of 48.54%. A win for Shenzhen had a probability of 27.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Meizhou Hakka win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Shenzhen win was 1-0 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shenzhen | Draw | Meizhou Hakka |
27.1% ( -0.07) | 24.36% ( -0.05) | 48.54% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 55.79% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.61% ( 0.15) | 46.4% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.32% ( 0.14) | 68.68% ( -0.14) |
| Shenzhen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.03% ( 0.03) | 30.97% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.73% ( 0.03) | 67.27% ( -0.03) |
| Meizhou Hakka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.81% ( 0.11) | 19.19% ( -0.11) |
