SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 53.67%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 23.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Beijing Guoan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Beijing Guoan | Draw | Cangzhou Mighty Lions |
53.67% ( 0.21) | 23.26% ( -0.12) | 23.07% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 55.23% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.82% ( 0.41) | 45.18% ( -0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.48% ( 0.4) | 67.52% ( -0.4) |
| Beijing Guoan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.22% ( 0.23) | 16.77% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.28% ( 0.4) | 46.72% ( -0.41) |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.36% ( 0.14) | 33.64% ( -0.14) |
