SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 77.15%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Guangzhou City had a probability of 8.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.65%) and 0-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.98%), while for a Guangzhou City win it was 1-0 (2.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Port would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Guangzhou City | Draw | Shanghai Port |
8.15% ( -0.09) | 14.7% ( -0.07) | 77.15% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 46.51% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.87% ( 0.05) | 37.13% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.68% ( 0.05) | 59.33% ( -0.05) |
| Guangzhou City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.5% ( -0.18) | 49.5% ( 0.18) |
