Guangzhou City 1-2 Beijing Guoan - Chinese Super League - November 21, 2022 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Friday, December 23

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Nov 21, 2022 at 11.30am UK at Yuexiushan Stadium

Guangzhou City

1 - 2

Beijing Guoan

Guilherme (90+3' pen.)
Miao (26'), Tixiang (66'), Gong (73')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Zhang (4'), Kang (24')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Guangzhou City and Beijing Guoan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Guangzhou City

All competitions

Last Game: Guangzhou City 0-1 Meizhou Hakka
Saturday, November 12 at 11.30am in Chinese Super League

Goals
for

Beijing Guoan

All competitions

Last Game: Beijing Guoan 3-1 Wuhan
Sunday, November 13 at 11.30am in Chinese Super League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 57.38%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Guangzhou City had a probability of 19.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.01%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Guangzhou City win it was 1-0 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Beijing Guoan would win this match.

Result
Guangzhou City	Draw	Beijing Guoan
19.97% ( 0.04)	22.65% ( 0.03)	57.38% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 52.79% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.72% (

-0.07)

46.28% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.43% (

-0.07)

68.57% (

0.06)

Guangzhou City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.75% (

0.01)

37.25% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.96% (

0.01)

74.03% (

-0.01)

Beijing Guoan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.13% (

-0.05)

15.87% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.91% (

-0.09)

45.09% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Guangzhou City 19.97%

Beijing Guoan 57.37%

Draw 22.64%

Guangzhou City	Draw	Beijing Guoan
1-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 5.31% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 2.88% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.75% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.61% ( 0) 3-0 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 1.64% Total : 19.97%	1-1 @ 10.74% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.88% 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.64%	0-1 @ 10.88% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 10.01% 1-2 @ 9.89% ( -0) 0-3 @ 6.14% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 6.07% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.83% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.79% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.38% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.31% Total : 57.37%