Beijing Guoan 4-1 Guangzhou - Chinese Super League - October 29, 2022 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 59.91%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Guangzhou had a probability of 17.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.82%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Guangzhou win it was 0-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Beijing Guoan would win this match.

Result
Beijing Guoan	Draw	Guangzhou
59.91% ( -0.02)	22.19% ( 0.01)	17.9% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 50.62% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.66% (

-0.03)

47.34% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.44% (

-0.03)

69.56% (

0.02)

Beijing Guoan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.61% (

-0.02)

15.4% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.8% (

-0.03)

44.2% (

0.03)

Guangzhou Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.84% (

-0.01)

40.17% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.2% (

-0.01)

76.8% (

Score Analysis

Beijing Guoan 59.91%

Guangzhou 17.9%

Draw 22.19%

Beijing Guoan	Draw	Guangzhou
1-0 @ 11.57% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.82% 2-1 @ 9.87% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.75% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.16% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.16% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.88% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.18% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 2.31% Total : 59.91%	1-1 @ 10.55% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.5% ( -0) Other @ 0.95% Total : 22.19%	0-1 @ 5.64% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.81% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.57% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.46% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.37% ( -0) Other @ 2.04% Total : 17.9%