Guangzhou 3-1 Beijing Guoan - Chinese Super League playoffs Semi-finals - Football

Friday, December 23

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Nov 2, 2020 at 11.35am UK at Suzhou Olympic Sports Centre Stadium

Evergrande

3 - 1

Beijing Guoan

Talisca (39' pen.), Paulinho (56', 81')
Shihao (30'), Park (31'), Chao (41'), Wu (68'), Xiuwei (85'), Dianzuo (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Zhang (61')
Li (25')

Coverage of the Chinese Super League playoffs Semi-finals clash between Guangzhou and Beijing Guoan.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guangzhou Evergrande win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Beijing Guoan had a probability of 34.73% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guangzhou Evergrande win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Beijing Guoan win was 1-2 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guangzhou Evergrande would win this match.

Result
Guangzhou Evergrande	Draw	Beijing Guoan
40.25%	25.02%	34.73%

Both teams to score 57.42%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.01%

45.99%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.71%

68.29%

Guangzhou Evergrande Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.27%

22.73%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.6%

56.4%

Beijing Guoan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.31%

25.69%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.39%

60.61%

Score Analysis

Guangzhou Evergrande 40.25%

Beijing Guoan 34.73%

Draw 25.01%

Guangzhou Evergrande	Draw	Beijing Guoan
2-1 @ 8.71% 1-0 @ 8.65% 2-0 @ 6.41% 3-1 @ 4.3% 3-0 @ 3.17% 3-2 @ 2.92% 4-1 @ 1.59% 4-0 @ 1.17% 4-2 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.24% Total : 40.25%	1-1 @ 11.75% 2-2 @ 5.92% 0-0 @ 5.84% 3-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.01%	1-2 @ 7.99% 0-1 @ 7.94% 0-2 @ 5.39% 1-3 @ 3.62% 2-3 @ 2.68% 0-3 @ 2.44% 1-4 @ 1.23% 2-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.53% Total : 34.73%