Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 59.17%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Guangzhou City had a probability of 19.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.95%) and 0-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.2%), while for a Guangzhou City win it was 1-0 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Port would win this match.
