Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Changchun Yatai win with a probability of 44.94%. A win for Guangzhou City had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Changchun Yatai win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.56%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Guangzhou City win was 2-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Changchun Yatai would win this match.
