Leipzig's prospects of finding the back of the net are always high with Nkunku leading the charge and the new manager bounce potentially in tow, and City have been uncharacteristically leaky at the back in Europe so far this term.
Guardiola will not allow his side to take their foot off the gas even with qualification assured, though, and with several fringe players hoping to impress, the Premier League champions ought to prevail by a narrow margin.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 54.97%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 22.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.76%) and 0-2 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for a RB Leipzig win it was 2-1 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
