Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 74.56%. A draw has a probability of 16% and a win for Watford has a probability of 9.45%.

The most likely scoreline was Watford 0-2 Manchester City with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines were 0-1 (10.3%), 0-3 (10.04%), 1-2 (9.19%). The actual score line of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.4%.