SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Star Belgrade win with a probability of 41.78%. A win for FC Pyunik had a probability of 32.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Star Belgrade win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest FC Pyunik win was 1-0 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Red Star Belgrade would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Pyunik | Draw | Red Star Belgrade |
32.15% ( 0.01) | 26.07% ( -0) | 41.78% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 53.15% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.81% ( 0.01) | 51.18% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.97% ( 0.01) | 73.03% ( -0.01) |
| FC Pyunik Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.17% ( 0.01) | 29.83% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.09% ( 0.01) | 65.91% ( -0.01) |
| Red Star Belgrade Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.74% ( 0) | 24.26% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.38% ( 0) | 58.61% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Pyunik | Draw | Red Star Belgrade |
| 1-0 @ 8.75% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.5% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.29% 3-1 @ 3.02% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.14% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.14% ( 0)4-1 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 2.39% Total : 32.15% | 1-1 @ 12.39% 0-0 @ 7.23% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.31% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.06% | 0-1 @ 10.24% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.78% 0-2 @ 7.26% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.15% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.43% 2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.47% 0-4 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.73% Total : 41.77% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Manchester CityMan City | 35 | 27 | 4 | 4 | 92 | 31 | 61 | 85 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 36 | 25 | 6 | 5 | 83 | 42 | 41 | 81 |
| 3 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 63 | 31 | 32 | 66 |
| 4 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 20 | 6 | 9 | 51 | 41 | 10 | 66 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 36 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 65 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 66 | 45 | 21 | 58 |
| 7 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 65 | 59 | 6 | 57 |
| 8 | Aston Villa | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 57 |
| 9 | Brentford | 36 | 13 | 14 | 9 | 54 | 45 | 9 | 53 |
| 10 | Fulham | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 51 |
| 11 | Chelsea | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 43 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 43 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 36 | 11 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 52 | -22 | 40 |
| 14 | Bournemouth | 36 | 11 | 6 | 19 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 39 |
| 15 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 36 | 10 | 7 | 19 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 37 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 67 | -31 | 34 |
| 17 | Everton | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 32 | 56 | -24 | 32 |
| 18 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 71 | -25 | 31 |
| 19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 36 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 30 |
| R | Southampton | 36 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 31 | 66 | -35 | 24 |
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