We said: Braga 3-2 Red Star Belgrade
With only a point separating the two sides in the group, Thursday's contest will be a close encounter, but after winning their two home group games, we think that Braga will utilise home advantage to claim all three points.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 57.73%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Red Star Belgrade had a probability of 19.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.79%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Red Star Belgrade win it was 0-1 (6.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
