SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Union Berlin | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | VfL Bochum | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Werder Bremen | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Hoffenheim | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Mainz 05 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | RB Leipzig | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 43.51%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 31.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| VfL Bochum | Draw | Mainz 05 |
43.51% ( 0.37) | 25.26% ( -0.01) | 31.23% ( -0.36) |
| Both teams to score 55.45% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.96% ( -0.11) | 48.04% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.79% ( -0.1) | 70.21% ( 0.1) |
| VfL Bochum Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.95% ( 0.13) | 22.05% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.62% ( 0.19) | 55.38% ( -0.19) |
| Mainz 05 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.13% ( -0.3) | 28.87% ( 0.3) |
