This is likely to be a tight game between two sides that are so full of confidence, and also two that are so evenly matched when solid defensive setups are taken into account.
Home advantage is likely to be key here with full stadiums being allowed in the Bundesliga in recent weeks, so we are predicting a raucous atmosphere at the Europa-Park Stadion to roar on a narrow home victory to keep Freiburg's top-four hopes alive.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 52.25%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 25.12% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 1-2 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
