SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 53.81%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 23.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 1-2 (6.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stuttgart | Draw | VfL Bochum |
53.81% ( 0.04) | 22.74% ( 0) | 23.44% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 57.43% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.52% ( -0.07) | 42.48% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.12% ( -0.07) | 64.88% ( 0.07) |
| Stuttgart Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.24% ( -0.01) | 15.75% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 55.13% ( -0.02) | 44.87% ( 0.03) |
| VfL Bochum Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.17% ( -0.07) | 31.83% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.73% ( -0.09) | 68.26% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stuttgart | Draw | VfL Bochum |
| 2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.27% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 8.56% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.04% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.79% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.44% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.03% ( -0)5-0 @ 0.9% ( 0)Other @ 2.65% Total : 53.81% | 1-1 @ 10.6% 2-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.01% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.74% | 1-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.74% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.29% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.25% ( -0)Other @ 2.63% Total : 23.44% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 92 | 38 | 54 | 71 |
| 2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 83 | 44 | 39 | 71 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 64 | 41 | 23 | 66 |
| 4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 62 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 44 | 7 | 59 |
| 6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 50 |
| 7 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 50 |
| 8 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 57 | 48 | 9 | 49 |
| 9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 46 |
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 43 |
| 11 | FC Koln | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 42 |
| 12 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 36 |
| 13 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 36 |
| 14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 35 |
| 15 | Augsburg | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 34 |
| 16 | Stuttgart | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 33 |
| R | Schalke 04Schalke | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 71 | -36 | 31 |
| R | Hertha Berlin | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 42 | 69 | -27 | 29 |
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