Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 60.24%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 19.96% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.9%) and 1-3 (7.16%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 2-1 (5.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
