Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 59%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 20.73% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.93%) and 0-1 (7.31%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 2-1 (5.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
