Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 45.61%. A win for Greuther Furth had a probability of 30.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.21%). The likeliest Greuther Furth win was 2-1 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
