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Bundesliga | Gameweek 13
Nov 28, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
Commerzbank-Arena
UB
Frankfurt
2 - 1
Union Berlin
Sow (22'), N'Dicka (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kruse (62' pen.)
Promel (39'), Knoche (59'), Luthe (90+3'), Becker (90+4')

We said: Eintracht Frankfurt 2-1 Union Berlin

We are predicting Frankfurt to pick up their first Bundesliga home win of the campaign on Sunday, as a result of their recent upturn in form, as well as the struggles Union regularly face on their travels compared to at home. Both sides tend to score and concede in their fixtures, so goals are to be expected in an entertaining encounter at the Commerzbank Arena. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 50.88%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 25.08% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Eintracht Frankfurt in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Eintracht Frankfurt.

Result
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawUnion Berlin
50.88%24.04%25.08%
Both teams to score 54.95%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.37%46.63%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.1%68.9%
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.65%18.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.54%49.46%
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.29%32.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.74%69.26%
Score Analysis
    Eintracht Frankfurt 50.88%
    Union Berlin 25.08%
    Draw 24.04%
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawUnion Berlin
1-0 @ 10.17%
2-1 @ 9.64%
2-0 @ 8.63%
3-1 @ 5.45%
3-0 @ 4.88%
3-2 @ 3.05%
4-1 @ 2.31%
4-0 @ 2.07%
4-2 @ 1.29%
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 50.88%
1-1 @ 11.37%
0-0 @ 6%
2-2 @ 5.39%
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.04%
0-1 @ 6.71%
1-2 @ 6.36%
0-2 @ 3.75%
1-3 @ 2.37%
2-3 @ 2.01%
0-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 25.08%

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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1091030102028
2Bayern MunichBayern108203873126
3Stuttgart970227111621
4Borussia DortmundDortmund106312015521
5RB Leipzig106222591620
6Hoffenheim106042219318
7Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt10451159617
8Freiburg104241319-614
9Wolfsburg94051314-112
10Augsburg103341922-312
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach102441923-410
12Werder Bremen93061418-49
13VfL BochumVfL Bochum101541024-148
14Heidenheim92161322-97
15SV Darmstadt 98102171432-187
16Union BerlinUnion Berlin102081122-116
17Mainz 05Mainz101361124-136
18FC Koln10127822-145
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