Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 54.45%. A win for Greuther Furth had a probability of 23.39% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Greuther Furth win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
