Borussia Dortmund 2-2 Mainz 05 - Bundesliga - May 27, 2023 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Mainz came out on top against Bayern at the end of last month and they will hope to end their campaign on a high by claiming maximum points on Saturday, spoiling Dortmund's title party in the process. However, we cannot see this rampant BVB side being stopped in their tracks, and while there may be some nervy moments during the contest, Terzic's men should do enough to clinch the club's ninth Bundesliga title. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 65.82%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 16.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.65%) and 3-1 (7.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 1-2 (4.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Mainz 05
65.82% ( -0.08)	18.17% ( 0.04)	16.01% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 60.81% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.9% (

-0.07)

32.1% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.32% (

-0.08)

53.68% (

0.08)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.86% (

-0.03)

9.14% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.99% (

-0.09)

31.01% (

0.09)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.93% (

0.01)

33.07% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.33% (

0.01)

69.67% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Borussia Dortmund 65.82%

Mainz 05 16.01%

Draw 18.17%

Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Mainz 05
2-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.65% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.63% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.9% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 4.57% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.22% ( -0) 4-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.21% ( -0) 4-3 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 4.09% Total : 65.82%	1-1 @ 8% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0) Other @ 0.29% Total : 18.17%	1-2 @ 4.43% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 3.34% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.8% Total : 16.01%

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Bayern Munich Bayern	34	21	8	5	92	38	54	71
2	Borussia Dortmund Dortmund	34	22	5	7	83	44	39	71
3	RB Leipzig	34	20	6	8	64	41	23	66
4	Union Berlin Union Berlin	34	18	8	8	51	38	13	62
5	Freiburg	34	17	8	9	51	44	7	59
6	Bayer Leverkusen B. Leverkusen	34	14	8	12	57	49	8	50
7	Eintracht Frankfurt Frankfurt	34	13	11	10	58	52	6	50
8	Wolfsburg	34	13	10	11	57	48	9	49
9	Mainz 05 Mainz	34	12	10	12	54	55	-1	46
10	Borussia Monchengladbach Borussia M'bach	34	11	10	13	52	55	-3	43
11	FC Koln	34	10	12	12	49	54	-5	42
12	Hoffenheim	34	10	6	18	48	57	-9	36
13	Werder Bremen	34	10	6	18	51	64	-13	36
14	VfL Bochum VfL Bochum	34	10	5	19	40	72	-32	35
15	Augsburg	34	9	7	18	42	63	-21	34
16	Stuttgart	34	7	12	15	45	57	-12	33
R	Schalke 04 Schalke	34	7	10	17	35	71	-36	31
R	Hertha Berlin	34	7	8	19	42	69	-27	29

Form, Standings, Stats